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Canadian Budget Update – April 2021

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For the first time in two years, the Canadian government has presented a budget. It seemed to be heavily focused on several specific areas of the economy: Pandemic/economic aid, child-care, and indigenous communities.

Below we will give an overview of the key takeaways from the more than 700 pages that was the budget. It is also important to consider some things that were not included in this budget.

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Budget Overview

Child Care

Pandemic/Economic Aid

Additional Information

Things Not In This Budget

There were a couple of notable items that many thought would be included in this budget that were not. The two main ones being a increase in the capital gains inclusion rate and the removal of the principal residence exemption.

The increase in the capital gains inclusion rate would impact savers and investors. Currently the capital gains inclusion rate is 50%. This means only 50% of the increase in value of the property or asset sold is taxed at your marginal tax rate. This rate could be increased to 75% in the future. This would primarily effect those who are investing in real-estate, stocks, etc. It would lower the potential investors net return, and could discouraging people from investing.

The removal of the principal residence exemption would adversely affect even more people than the increase in cap gain inclusion. The principal residence exemption allows for the gain in the value of an owners principal residence to not be taxed upon its sale. With the majority of Canadians having much of their net worth tied up in their homes, this could be detrimental. Many people believe they will downsize their houses to help fund their retirement. However, if the gain in value is no longer tax-free, there won’t be as much available to cover lifestyle expenses. Thus, forcing more people to be reliant on the government.

Conclusion

This budget presented a lot of additional spending on top of what has already been spent in the name of COVID. Although some of the initiatives may be good, printing money and running a deficit to fund them is not sustainable. We suspect additional tax increases will come in future budgets. Hopefully, all of the new spendings will not be for nothing and will actually increase economic output to eventually pay for itself.

Although we didn’t see any major tax changes that will affect the average consumer, we very well could in the coming years. The political pundits believe that if the Liberal government were to call for an election this year, of which there is a good chance, Trudeau would win a majority. If that were to be the case, it would become a lot easier for the Liberal government to push for tax increases that would effect the average consumer.

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